Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.006512 0.007511 0.008678 0.010162 0.012021 0.014310 0.017397
2025-11-09 0.004958 0.006097 0.007559 0.009627 0.012569 0.016767 0.023546
2025-11-16 0.004124 0.005277 0.006849 0.009236 0.012952 0.018880 0.029975
2025-11-23 0.003705 0.004902 0.006617 0.009392 0.014083 0.022421 0.040654
2025-11-30 0.003315 0.004494 0.006248 0.009226 0.014600 0.025058 0.051370
2025-12-07 0.002973 0.004107 0.005842 0.008904 0.014733 0.026982 0.061991
2025-12-14 0.002733 0.003841 0.005585 0.008778 0.015183 0.029752 0.077662
2025-12-21 0.002611 0.003744 0.005582 0.009095 0.016604 0.035471 0.110632
2025-12-28 0.002531 0.003700 0.005660 0.009573 0.018525 0.043664 0.170949
2026-01-04 0.002407 0.003572 0.005571 0.009704 0.019681 0.050457 0.245976
2026-01-11 0.002267 0.003403 0.005389 0.009605 0.020237 0.055724 0.334648
2026-01-18 0.002162 0.003283 0.005283 0.009653 0.021204 0.063367 0.498516
2026-01-25 0.002023 0.003104 0.005066 0.009464 0.021604 0.069868 0.741921
2026-02-01 0.001863 0.002878 0.004739 0.008980 0.021021 0.071723 0.959805
2026-02-08 0.001734 0.002697 0.004483 0.008625 0.020743 0.075112 1.343565
2026-02-15 0.001670 0.002627 0.004438 0.008767 0.022132 0.089634 3.162560
2026-02-22 0.001583 0.002510 0.004285 0.008616 0.022482 0.098702 6.723225
2026-03-01 0.001491 0.002377 0.004089 0.008323 0.022240 0.103678 13.483309
2026-03-08 0.001423 0.002284 0.003967 0.008208 0.022637 0.114671 56.937453
2026-03-15 0.001394 0.002263 0.003995 0.008496 0.024756 0.146229 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001377 0.002264 0.004069 0.008932 0.027763 0.199950 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001338 0.002217 0.004035 0.009050 0.029454 0.247387 NaN
2026-04-05 0.001287 0.002145 0.003937 0.008961 0.030119 0.283960 NaN